CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-11-10T09:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-11-10T09:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/42575/-1
CME Note: [PRELIMINARY] Halo CME seen in SOHO LASCO C2, SOHO LASCO C3, and GOES CCOR-1 and wide CME seen predominantly to the northeast in STEREO A COR2A in association with an eruptive X1.2-class solar flare from Active Region 14274 (N25W16). The solar flare is best seen in GOES SUVI 131 and a faint circular EUV wave is seen propagating shortly following the flare in GOES SUVI 195 and 284 angstrom imagers.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-11-11T22:11Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-11-12T06:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 6.0 - 8.0
Prediction Method: Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)
Prediction Method Note:
predicted CME shock arrival time: 2025-11-12T06:00Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70% Max Kp Range: 6-8Lead Time: 20.65 hour(s)
Difference: -7.82 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Jingjing Wang (NSSC SEPC) on 2025-11-11T01:32Z
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